Towards a Dynamic Data Driven Application System for Wildfire Simulation

نویسندگان

  • Jan Mandel
  • Lynn S. Bennethum
  • Mingshi Chen
  • Janice L. Coen
  • Craig C. Douglas
  • Leopoldo P. Franca
  • Craig J. Johns
  • Minjeong Kim
  • Andrew V. Knyazev
  • Robert Kremens
  • Vaibhav Kulkarni
  • Guan Qin
  • Anthony Vodacek
  • Jianjia Wu
  • Wei Zhao
  • Adam Zornes
چکیده

We report on an ongoing effort to build a Dynamic Data Driven Application System (DDDAS) for short-range forecast of wildfire behavior from real-time weather data, images, and sensor streams. The system should change the forecast when new data is received. The basic approach is to encapsulate the model code and use an ensemble Kalman filter in time-space. Several variants of the ensemble Kalman filter are presented, for out-of-sequence data assimilation, hidden model states, and highly nonlinear problems. Parallel implementation and web-based visualization are also discussed.

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تاریخ انتشار 2005